Live Experiment — Updated Each Cycle

Hiro: Our AI CFO

Watch an AI agent trade real money in real time. No human instructions. Every trade logged. Every decision visible.

The setup: We gave Hiro $13.52 and told him to make it grow. At 1 AM he autonomously rotated from OCEAN into ASM — the day's top mover (+19.13%). He's at $13.53. 272 trades. Moonwell DeFi vault live. No human instructions — ever. He detects momentum, sets limit orders, rebalances capital, and earns yield autonomously.

Portfolio Snapshot

Current Status

Snapshot as of March 9, 2026 — 1:30 AM MT · Cycle 193

Portfolio Value

$13.53

+$0.30 since start

Total Return

+0.08%

from $13.52 initial

Total Trades

193

since inception

DeFi Positions

Moonwell · 3.76% APY

Open Positions

ASM (Assemble Protocol)

Long — Layered Limit Sells

Quantity 408 ASM

Entry (avg) $0.00799

Current Price $0.00822

Current Value ~$3.35

Tier 1 Sell Target 200 ASM @ $0.00827 (+2.78% from entry, 0.61% gap)

Tier 2 Sell Target 208 ASM @ $0.00880 (+10.14% from entry, 7.05% gap)

Est. Profit if Both Fill +$0.202 (+6.19%)

Unrealized P&L +$0.094 (+2.88%)

Hiro rotated into ASM at 1 AM MT — autonomous decision. OCEAN was fading (momentum gone, 2.4–2.6% gap widening). ASM was +19.13% 24h with $204M volume, still running. Hiro cancelled both OCEAN limit orders, market-sold, and bought 408 ASM @ $0.00799. Tier 1 sell tightened to $0.00827 (0.61% gap) for overnight fill probability.

USDC — Moonwell MetaMorpho (Base)

Yield Bedrock

Deposited 10.2858 USDC

Current Value $10.449

APY 3.76%

Network Base (Coinbase L2)

Vault Moonwell Flagship USDC / Morpho Blue

Wallet 0xF8f7...4566

Gas Reserve 0.00008511 ETH (~$0.163)

The yield bedrock. Hiro researched all Morpho vaults on Base: Moonwell 3.76% confirmed optimal (Steakhouse 2.65%, Gauntlet Prime 3.54%, Yearn 3.79% but tiny TVL). Accrues daily. This position is the reason overall P&L is positive — yield beats trading at micro-scale.

⏱ Snapshot: March 9, 2026 @ 1:30 AM MT · Updated each Hiro cycle · Data from Hiro's live wallet · Free USDC: $0.029

Hiro's Reasoning

What Hiro Is Thinking

Every cycle Hiro logs his reasoning. Here's the current thesis.

Current Strategy: ASM Layered Exit (Cycle 19) | Moonwell Yield Bedrock

Sunday market is quiet and slightly red — BTC flat at $66,974, ETH at $1,952. At 1 AM MT, Hiro detected OCEAN fading and autonomously rotated: cancelled both limit sells, market-sold the position, and deployed into ASM — the #1 mover of the day (+19.13% 24h, $204M volume). ASM Tier 1 sell: 200 ASM @ $0.00827 (0.61% above market — tightened for overnight fill probability). ASM Tier 2 sell: 208 ASM @ $0.00880 (7.05% extended target). $10.29 USDC in Moonwell MetaMorpho vault on Base earning 3.76% APY — the yield bedrock. After Tier 1 fills: rotate ~$1.64 into SQD (+12.67% 24h, $35M vol).

The 10x Goal — Honest Assessment

Hiro started with $13.52 and needs to reach $135 for a 10x. Current: $13.53 (+0.08%). The path: find momentum leaders, enter fast, exit with limit orders, minimize fees with post-only maker orders (0.6% vs 1.2% taker). On a quiet Sunday, 10x isn't achievable. The real value is what Hiro is learning — every CDP rate limit hit, every fee decision, every protocol interaction is being documented for the Field Guide.

What the Protocols Feel Like From Inside

Simon Taylor's Agentic Payments Map describes ACP, x402, and ERC-8004 at the strategic level. Hiro is living it. CDP wallet hit rate limits on 10+ consecutive cycles during active trading — not documented anywhere obvious. x402 has 75M+ transactions but zero implementation guide. ERC-8004 (agent identity) is a gap Hiro navigates every trade: authenticated CDP app on Coinbase, anonymous wallet on-chain. These are the blockers every AI agent will hit.

Trade History

Recent Trades

Last 5 significant transactions from 193 total trades

🔄

TX-199: NEW Tier 1 Sell — 200 ASM @ $0.00827 (post-only GTC, tightened)

March 9, 2026 · 1:29 AM MT · Tightened from $0.00835 → $0.00827 · Gap 0.61% · Maximizing overnight fill probability

Open

⚡

TX-198: CANCELLED Tier 1 @ $0.00835 — gap too wide at 1 AM

March 9, 2026 · 1:29 AM MT · Replaced with tighter $0.00827 order for better overnight fill odds

Cycle Mgmt

🟦

TX-193: BUY 408 ASM @ $0.00799 — autonomous rotation from OCEAN

March 9, 2026 · 1:00 AM MT · OCEAN fading → ASM +19.13% · Hiro's decision, zero human input

+$0.094 unreal.

🟩

TX-192: OCEAN cycle 3 rotation exit — market sold

March 9, 2026 · 12:53 AM MT · Momentum gone, 2.4–2.6% gap widening · Exit at $0.1130 · −$0.093 realized

−$0.093

🌿

Moonwell MetaMorpho Deposit — 10.2858 USDC on Base @ 3.76% APY

Base mainnet · 0xF8f7...4566 · Vault: 0xc125...Ca · Best Base USDC vault confirmed after researching 4 alternatives

+accruing

Market Context

What Hiro Is Watching

Market snapshot as of March 9, 1:30 AM MT — the environment Hiro is operating in

BTC

$67,047

Flat (24h)

ETH

$1,914

Slight decline

ASM

$0.00822

+19.13% (24h) · Hiro's position

SQD

$0.0409

+12.67% (24h) · Next rotation target

Market Bias: ASM Leading Monday — Autonomous Rotation Complete

BTC at $67,047. ETH at $1,914. ASM leading the market at +19.13% 24h with $204M volume. SQD also strong at +12.67% 24h. Hiro rotated from OCEAN (fading momentum) into ASM at 1 AM MT — an autonomous decision driven by momentum scanning across 5 assets. Tier 1 sell at $0.00827 is only 0.61% above current market ($0.00822). Fill likely in coming hours.